Fiorentina will face Spezia at 19:30 on April 8th in Round 29 of the 2022/23 Italian Serie A. Here is an analysis of the match, including expert opinions, predictions, odds, and detailed Asian handicap statistics.Fiorentina has been the best team in Italy for nearly two months now, winning 10 out of their last 11 matches in all competitions. They have also advanced to the quarter-finals of the Europa Conference League and are steadily approaching the top six of the Serie A 2022/23 table. Moreover, they recently took a big step towards the final of the Coppa Italia by winning 2-0 away at Cremonese in the first leg of the semi-finals.
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However, Fiorentina will have to travel to Poland for the first leg of the Europa Conference League quarter-finals next week. Given that they are also in contention to win the tournament (which guarantees a spot in the next season's Europa League), it is likely that they will rest some key players in the match against Spezia. Despite this, Fiorentina is still the highest ever favorite against Spezia with an Asian handicap of 1 1/4. They have never been such a big favorite at home this season, even against bigger teams.
On the other hand, Spezia is not in terrible form at the moment, having only lost one of their last five matches in Serie A. They are also safe from relegation and have a comfortable six-point lead over the bottom three teams.
In conclusion, Fiorentina is expected to win this match comfortably, even if they rest some of their key players. Spezia is not in terrible form, but they are unlikely to cause an upset against the strongest team in Italy at the moment.
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The only drawback is that Aquilotti's away form is quite poor: 8 points out of 13 matches since the start of the 2022/23 season. However, if we narrow down the scope, Spezia has lost 2 out of their recent 6 away matches in the Italian Serie A. Therefore, the away team is still worth a bet with a handicap of 1 1/4. Choose Fiorentina.
Analyzing the goal line of Fiorentina vs Spezia (2 1/2)
All 5 recent head-to-head matches between the two sides in Serie A have ended with at least 3 goals. Meanwhile, Fiorentina has scored over 1 goal in 5 out of their 6 home wins in the Italian Serie A this season, contributing to 4 of these matches having more than 2 goals. On the other hand, Spezia has only managed to score 1 consolation goal in their away defeats in the Serie A 2022/23 season so far. Therefore, the match still has the potential to reach over 2 1/2 goals.
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Expected lineups for Fiorentina vs Spezia
Fiorentina: Terracciano; Dodo, Quarta, Julio, Biraghi; Bonaventura, Mandragora; Ikone, Castrovilli, Gonzalez; Cabral
Spezia: Dragowski; Amian, Caldara, Ampadu, Bastoni; Bourabia, Ekdal, Kovalenko; Verde, Shomurodov, Agudelo
Prediction for the outcome of Fiorentina vs Spezia: 3-0.